Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000151 0.000166 0.000183 0.000202 0.000223 0.000246 0.000272
2025-10-19 0.000118 0.000140 0.000165 0.000197 0.000235 0.000281 0.000339
2025-10-26 0.000101 0.000126 0.000157 0.000198 0.000251 0.000319 0.000412
2025-11-02 0.000088 0.000114 0.000148 0.000195 0.000260 0.000347 0.000475
2025-11-09 0.000079 0.000106 0.000142 0.000195 0.000271 0.000378 0.000543
2025-11-16 0.000071 0.000098 0.000135 0.000192 0.000277 0.000401 0.000603
2025-11-23 0.000063 0.000090 0.000128 0.000187 0.000279 0.000419 0.000656
2025-11-30 0.000060 0.000087 0.000126 0.000190 0.000292 0.000455 0.000742
2025-12-07 0.000056 0.000084 0.000125 0.000193 0.000307 0.000494 0.000840
2025-12-14 0.000052 0.000079 0.000120 0.000190 0.000309 0.000512 0.000902
2025-12-21 0.000047 0.000073 0.000113 0.000183 0.000305 0.000519 0.000943
2025-12-28 0.000045 0.000070 0.000111 0.000183 0.000314 0.000550 0.001034
2026-01-04 0.000042 0.000068 0.000109 0.000185 0.000326 0.000588 0.001149
2026-01-11 0.000039 0.000064 0.000106 0.000183 0.000331 0.000617 0.001249
2026-01-18 0.000037 0.000062 0.000104 0.000185 0.000343 0.000658 0.001385
2026-01-25 0.000035 0.000059 0.000101 0.000183 0.000347 0.000685 0.001493
2026-02-01 0.000033 0.000057 0.000099 0.000182 0.000355 0.000720 0.001625
2026-02-08 0.000031 0.000054 0.000095 0.000179 0.000357 0.000743 0.001733
2026-02-15 0.000029 0.000051 0.000091 0.000175 0.000355 0.000757 0.001821
2026-02-22 0.000028 0.000050 0.000091 0.000177 0.000369 0.000809 0.002017
2026-03-01 0.000027 0.000049 0.000091 0.000181 0.000385 0.000868 0.002243
2026-03-08 0.000025 0.000047 0.000088 0.000177 0.000385 0.000887 0.002363
2026-03-15 0.000024 0.000044 0.000083 0.000171 0.000377 0.000886 0.002422